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Marv Evans's avatar

And what about the nuclear weapon Iran assured us they almost had ready and were threatening to use. What is the value of eliminating that? Would you have also resisted WWII rationing? How much are we willing to endure to protect our children from a nuclear with a clear stated intent to destroy us?

Sorry to hear of your daughter. I am attending two funerals this week. The end of those relationships if sad.... how much more so for a father to lose a daughter.

The Thinking Other Woman's avatar

https://substack.com/home/post/p-197763836

Important reading. “I want to say one thing about Dario Amodei. Mr. Amodei is the CEO of Anthropic, the company whose product I am using to do what I am doing. He has been, of all the AI executives, the most honest about what is about to happen. He said publicly, in an interview with Axios in 2025, that AI may eliminate half of all entry-level white-collar jobs within five years. He said it because it is true, and he said it because he is one of the few people in his industry willing to say it out loud.

Every time you read an essay on AI and labor, somebody reaches for the Industrial Revolution. The argument is reassuring and it is wrong.

The Industrial Revolution displaced muscle. It displaced muscle slowly, over the course of three generations. It displaced muscle while creating, in its wake, entirely new categories of work the machines could not do—clerical work, professional services, knowledge work, the entire white-collar economy that emerged in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. A loom replaced a weaver, but a loom did not replace an accountant. The machinery could spin thread. It could not write a contract. It could not diagnose a patient. It could not teach a class. The displacement was real and the displacement was painful, and the dispossession that the early Industrial Revolution caused fueled the labor movement, the Progressive Era, the trust-busting, the eight-hour day, the weekend, the entire social contract that defined the twentieth century. But the displacement was bounded by the machines’ limitations, and the displaced muscle had somewhere to go.

AI is doing the opposite of all of that. AI displaces judgment. It displaces judgment at the speed of cloud compute. It displaces judgment while producing, in its wake, new categories of work that the machines also do. The whole reassuring nineteenth-century model—machine takes the old job, new job appears, worker retrains for new job, society moves up the ladder—does not apply, because the new job is also doing the model.”

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